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Expectations of risky bond payments are unobservable and recovery rates for sovereigns are hard to estimate because they have no contractual claims to defined assets and samples of defaults are limited. A geometric version of credit spread is used to derive expected payments, dependent on...
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quantitative model where firms make investment, financing, and default decisions subject to aggregate and idiosyncratic risk. Firms … profit opportunities and increases default risk for debtholders. Equityholders are protected against default risk due to the …
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productivity. A quantitative model of news and sovereign debt default with endogenous maturity choice generates impulse responses …-term debt does not shield the country from bad news shocks, and it may even exacerbate default risk. Finally, an increase in the …
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