This paper shows how a standard DSGE model can be extended to reproduce the dynamics in the 10 year yield curve for the post-war US economy with a similar degree of precision as in reduced form term structure models. At the same time, we are able to reproduce the dynamics of four key macro...

This paper develops a DSGE model which explains variation in the nominal and real term structure along with inflation surveys and four macro variables in the UK economy. The model is estimated based on a third-order approximation to allow for time-varying term premia. We find a fall in nominal...

This paper develops a DSGE model which explains variation in the nominal and real term structure along with inflation surveys and four macro variables in the UK economy. The model is estimated based on a third-order approximation to allow for time-varying term premia. We find a fall in nominal...

This article provides several estimates for the shadow rate (SR) of the short-term interest rate in US. We assume maximal models with two and three Gaussian factors, and we use forward rates to estimate the model's parameters. Based on that, we conclude that point estimates of SR should be taken...

Prevailing explanations of the decline in real interest rates since the early 1980s are premised on the notion that real interest rates are driven by variations in desired saving and investment. But based on data stretching back to 1870 for 19 countries, our systematic analysis casts doubt on...

This is the first in a series of seven papers on interest rates and it covers the basic terms and information required for a fuller understanding of the significance of interest rates: the instruments that interest rates apply to, the bank interest margin which plays an important transmission...

This is the third in a series of seven papers on interest rates and it covers the yield curve, the literature on the composition of interest rates, an alternative analysis of composition of interest rates, the literature on the risk-free rate, an alternative view of the risk-free rate, and an...

This is the second in a series of seven papers on interest rates and it covers the relationship between the policy interest rate and the banks' prime lending rate; the many, but related, interest rates on debt and deposits; the interbank market interest rates; and the relationship of money market...

Prevailing explanations of the decline in real interest rates since the early 1980s are premised on the notion that real interest rates are driven by variations in desired saving and investment. But based on data stretching back to 1870 for 19 countries, our systematic analysis casts doubt on...

We analyze how public finances, through sovereign interest rates, impact corporate borrowing costs in the Euro Area. Theoretically, an increase in sovereign rates can have an impact on banks interest rates through three main channels: i) an increase in the risk free rate (price channel) ii) a...