1 Abstract -- 2 Introduction -- 3 Chapter I: Literature on the subject of excess volatility -- 4 Chapter II: Excess volatility beyond discount rates -- 5 Chapter III: Evidence of excess volatility in the Eurozone market -- 6 Conclusions.

Economic theory predicts that intertemporal decisions depend critically on expectations about future outcomes. Using the universe of professional survey forecasts for the United States, we document the behavior of the entire term structure of expectations for output growth, inflation, and the...