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I propose a consumption-based asset pricing model that jointly explains the high equity premium, the counter-cyclical behaviour of stock returns, the upward sloping term structure of interest rates and the downward sloping term structure of equity. The driving forces behind these results are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013057031
In this paper, we aim at constructing a global risk model using the term structure from major bond-issuing countries. The goal is twofold: first this allows quantifying global interest rate risk (level, slope and curvature effects), providing insights on global risks at play. Secondly, such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012958146
Under what conditions can the term structure of risk premia be downward sloping, as reported in a number of recent empirical studies? I study fixed income and equity risk premium term structures and the long run risk in a continuous time Lucas-style economy subject to a persistent regime change...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012941694
We study the properties of foreign exchange risk premiums that can explain the forward bias puzzle, defined as the tendency of high-interest rate currencies to appreciate rather than depreciate. These risk premiums arise endogenously from the no-arbitrage condition relating the term structure of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013009171
Using a news-based index of economic policy uncertainty (EPU), we find that EPU is positively associated with credit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853711
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We estimate a production‐based general equilibrium model featuring demand‐ and supply‐side uncertainty and an … endogenous term premium. Using term structure and macroeconomic data, we find sizable effects of uncertainty on risk premia and … business cycle fluctuations. Both demand‐ and supply‐side uncertainty imply large contractions in real activity and an increase …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014362538
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This paper proposes an equilibrium model to explain the positive and sizable term premia observed in the data. We introduce a slow mean-reverting process of consumption growth and a segmented asset market mechanism with heterogeneous trading technology to otherwise a standard heterogeneous agent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012897692