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Mispricing and risk have both been suggested as explanations for the cross-sectional relation between stock returns and firm characteristics such as accruals. As emphasized by Ferson and Harvey (1998) and Berk, Green and Naik (1999), it is difficult to evaluate these competing explanations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003948727
As financial markets transition from the London Interbank Offered Rate (Libor) to alternative benchmark rates, lenders in floating rate debt lose the hedging benefits provided by Libor because the alternative reference rates are credit-insensitive overnight rates. Comparing the yield spreads of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013404764
We investigate if the benchmark transition from London Interbank Offered Rate (Libor) to Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) affects the costs of borrowing floating rate debt. The primary market for dollar-denominated floating rate notes (FRNs) provides an ideal laboratory to study these e...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014314081
We examine the impact of earnings management uncertainty (EMU) on bond yield spreads in China. In the process, we decompose the bond yield spread into liquidity and default yield spreads. The findings suggest that EMU primarily drives the default yield spread of a corporate bond and that its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012816941
We model and estimate the term structure of implied costs of equity capital (and implied risk premia) at the firm level for the years 1996-2015 from forward looking option contracts. Empirical tests reject the assumption that the term structure of implied firm-level costs of equity is constant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012870418
This paper shows how the outputs of the accounting measurement process can be translated into terms that can be used in economic decisions. We introduce the notion of Term Structure of Capital Values (TSCV), uniquely associated to a Term Structure of Interest Rates (TSIR). We show that the state...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013016004
In fundamental analysis, it is often the case that financial/accounting variables, price multiples and risk premium are either knowingly or inadvertently treated as free parameters without any restriction. However, there exist endogenously determined relations among them in market equilibrium....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035392
We document that historical patterns of accruals seasonality predict future stock returns. Firms with historically larger accruals in a given quarter of the year earn lower stock returns when those accruals are expected to be announced. The accruals seasonality spread is significant only in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311326
In this paper we adopt a principal components analysis (PCA) to reduce the dimensionality of the term structure and employ autoregressive models (AR) to forecast principal components which, in turn, are used to forecast swap rates. Arguing in favor of structural variation, we propose data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003636128
The paper proposes a data driven adaptive model selection strategy. The selection crite- rion measures economic exante forecasting content by means of trading implied cash flows. Empirical evidence suggests that the proposed strategy is neither exposed to selection bias nor to the risk of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003770821