In this paper we investigate the price discovery process in single-name credit spreads obtained from bond, credit default swap (CDS), equity and equity option prices. We analyse short term price discovery by modelling daily changes in credit spreads in the four markets with a vector...

This paper investigates the forecasting performance for CDS spreads of both linear and nonlinear models by analysing the iTraxx Europe index during the financial crisis period which began in mid-2007. The statistical and economic significance of the models' forecasts are evaluated by employing...

We study how local governments’ debt financing decisions relate to the term structure of interest rates. Using a community welfare maximization framework, we derive the link between interest rates and the adjustable-rate share of borrowing by local governments. We construct a novel database of...

We study how local governments’ debt financing decisions relate to the term structure of interest rates. Using a novel database of loans taken out by local governments in England, we find that the yield spread is the main determinant of the local governments’ adjustable-rate loan share. Our...

This paper investigates the role of credit and liquidity factors in explaining corporate CDS price changes during normal and crisis periods. We find that liquidity risk is more important than firm-specific credit risk regardless of market conditions. Moreover, in the period prior to the recent...

We are the first to explore the empirical relationship between interest rates and debt supply expectations derived from Treasury press releases. We find that news on expected government bond supply affects bond yields, but only when the news is an accurate reflection of future supply. We exploit...