Using a novel data set and new proxies for rollover losses and market illiquidity, this paper finds that market illiquidity affects corporate bond spreads beyond a liquidity premium through a “rollover risk channel”. This effect is economically significant during episodes of market...

This paper examines whether rollover risk is priced on corporate bond spreads. Using a novel data set and new proxies for rollover risk and market illiquidity, the empirical analysis developed reveals that market illiquidity affects corporate bond spreads beyond a liquidity premium through a...

A standard assumption of structural models of default is that firms' assets evolve exogenously. In this paper, we examine the importance of accounting for investment options in models of credit risk. In the presence of financing and investment frictions, fi rm-level variables that proxy for...

The question of predictability of credit spreads is of more than just academic interest. The ability to generate unerring spread forecasts is of considerable practical relevance for both treasurers of companies, who want to finance themselves through bonds, and institutional investors, who must...

I show that the pricing of a bond liquidity shock depends on the current size of a firm's bond rollover exposure. Using U.S. corporate bond transactions data, I find that a market liquidity shock induces a larger yield spread increase among firms with non-zero rollover exposures. This effect is...

Lack of shareholders' commitment about debt and investment policies increases the cost of debt by a quantity that we refer to as the agency (credit) spread. The agency spread increases with the number of periods for which debt holders are exposed to policies that decrease the value of debt: from...

During the global financial crisis, stressed market conditions led to skyrocketing corporate bond spreads that could not be explained by conventional modeling approaches. This paper builds on this observation and sheds light on time-variations in the relationship between systematic risk factors...

We examine the impact of earnings management uncertainty (EMU) on bond yield spreads in China. In the process, we decompose the bond yield spread into liquidity and default yield spreads. The findings suggest that EMU primarily drives the default yield spread of a corporate bond and that its...

This article studies the economic factors behind corporate default risk premia in Europe during the period 2006–2010. We employ information embedded in Credit Default Swap (CDS) contracts to quantify expected excess returns from the underlying bonds in market-wide default circumstances. We...

We study the determinants of the subprime mortgage loan spread, with a particular focus on funding liquidity and default-liquidity interaction effects. We find that sector-level as well as macro funding liquidity provision affected subprime loan rates, explaining a significant portion of the...