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Does the effect of monetary policy depend on the prevailing level of inflation? In order to answer this question, we … construct a parsimonious nonlinear time series model that allows for inflation regimes. We find that the effects of monetary … policy are markedly different when year-over-year inflation exceeds 5.5 percent. Below this threshold, changes in monetary …
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This paper elaborates on the alternative measure of persistence recently suggested in Marques (2004), which is based on the idea of mean reversion. A formal distinction between γ, the unconditional probability of a given process not crossing its mean in period t and γ̂, its estimator, is made...
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