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This study examines causation between the current account and the fiscal surplus and fiscal spending for a commodity-based economy, Peru. Using quarterly data for the open economy, the outcomes reject the twin deficits hypothesis. Instead, the evidence points strongly to reverse causality, that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011872218
We study the relationship between the budget balance and the current account balance for European Union(EU) countries, using quarterly data from1995 to2020. Through the use of panel Granger causality tests and a panel SUR model, we conclude that the relationship is bi-directional for the EU...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012649364
This paper investigates the effects of macroeconomic uncertainty on economic growth in the presence of fiscal consolidation in South Africa. Markov-switching dynamic regression (MSDR) and time-varying parameter vector autoregression (TVP-VAR) were performed using time series data from 1994 to...
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In diesem Papier wird eine Konjunkturbereinigung des öffentlichen Haushaltssaldos für Deutschland vorgestellt. In den bisher am meisten verbreiteten Ansätzen wird der Konjunktureinfluss über die Abweichung des Bruttoinlandsprodukts vom Trend oder von der Normalauslastung der Wirtschaft...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011490759
, larger budget deficits jspell higher interest rates, as posited by conventional macroeconomic theory. …
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