This paper proposes three short-term forecasting models for the adjusted external reserves using the seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA), seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average with an exogenous input (SARIMA-X) and an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL)...

Danmarks Nationalbank has in November 2006 started to publish five seasonally adjusted financial time series. The series chosen for seasonal adjustment are monthly series for currency in circulation, the money stock measures M1 and M2 and the MFI sector's lending to households and to...