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This paper proposes three short-term forecasting models for the adjusted external reserves using the seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA), seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average with an exogenous input (SARIMA-X) and an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL)...
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information arrives between the current period and the next period. To use the information that arrives between two periods, he … information arrives between the current period and the next period. He demonstrates by theoretical arguments and empirical …
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