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We consider the basic problem of refi tting a time series over a finite period of time and formulate it as a stochastic dynamic program. By changing the underlying Markov decision process we are able to obtain a model that at optimality considers historical data as well as forecasts of future...
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application to the income-consumption relationship, using monthly US time series. Evidence is found to support the claim that the … series ; business cycles ; conditional distribution ; consumption-income relationship ; copula ; multivariate time …
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