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In this paper, we estimate trend inflation in Sweden using an unobserved components stochastic volatility model. Using … data from 1995Q4 to 2021Q4 and Bayesian estimation methods, we find that trend inflation has been well-anchored during the … period - although in general at a level below the inflation target - and it does not appear to have been affected much by the …
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In this paper, we examine the time series properties of inflation in seven countries that have adopted inflation … targeting. Unlike previous studies, we utilize a non-linear mean reverting adjustment mechanism for inflation and we discover … that, although deviations of inflation from the target can exhibit a region of non-stationary behaviour, overall they are …
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Since 1991, survey expectations of long-run output growth for the U.S. relative to the rest of the world exhibit a pattern strikingly similar to that of the U.S. current account, and thus also to global imbalances. We show that this finding can to a large extent be rationalized in a two-region...
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