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Estimating the output gap using business survey data : a bivariate structural time series model for the German economy

Flaig, Gebhard; Plötscher, Claudia - 2000

This paper deals with the estimation of the output gap. We use uni- and bivariate unobserved components models in order to decompose the observed German GDP-series into trend, cycle and seasonal components. The results show that using the ifo business assessment variable as an indicator for the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001452302

Estimating the output gap using business survey data : a bivariate structural time series model for the German economy

Flaig, Gebhard; Plötscher, Claudia - In: IFO-Studien : Zeitschrift für empirische … 47 (2001) 2, pp. 221-232

This paper deals with the estimation of the output gap. We use uni- and bivariate unobserved components models in order to decompose the observed German GDP-series into trend, cycle and seasonal components. The results show that using the ifo business assessment variable as an indicator for the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001643125

Forecasting with macroeconometric models : a report from the trenches

Heilemann, Ullrich - 1999

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001474442

Methoden der Konjunkturprognose : e. empir. Unters. mit zeitreihenanalyt. Verfahren

Nowak, Ralf - 1986

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000737903

Business cycle forecasting : tracking time-varying transfer functions

Edlund, Per-Olov; Søgaard, Henning T. - 1991 - January 1991

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000806193

Analyse und Prognose von Zeitreihen mit neuronalen Netzen

Thiesing, Frank M. - 1998 - Als Ms. gedr

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000991312

Wie Konjunkturdiagnosen treffsicherer werden

Schmidt, Jürgen - In: Wirtschafts- und Sozialstatistik heute : Theorie und …, (pp. 185-199). 1997

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001296669

Prognose von Firmennachfragereihen anhand von dynamischen Regressionen mit Surveydaten

Stock, Kurt - 1998

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001390869

Saisonbereinigung und aktuelle Konjunkturdiagnose

Pauly, Ralf - In: Allgemeines statistisches Archiv : AStA ; journal of … 71 (1987) 4, pp. 334-352

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001042401

Business cycle prediction using support vector methods

Vogtländer, Kai; Weihs, Claus - 2000

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001522625

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