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Wanna bet there will be war? : a time-series analysis of prediction markets during the Libya conflict 2011
Wörle, Sebastian Matthias - In: The journal of prediction markets 7 (2013) 3, pp. 1-28
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010342035
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Evaluating forecasts of political conflict dynamics
Brandt, Patrick T.; Freeman, John R.; Schrodt, Philip A. - In: International journal of forecasting 30 (2014) 4, pp. 944-962
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010517775
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A critique of the Richardson equations
Beckmann, Klaus; Gattke, Susan; Lechner, Anja-Maria; … - 2016
(for the Ethiopian-Eritreian war, 1998-2000), we also assess the empirical usefulness of the model. It turns out that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011442602
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Austrian public debt growth : a public choice perspective
Neck, Reinhard; Haber, Gottfried; Klinglmair, Andrea - In: International advances in economic research : IAER ; an … 21 (2015) 3, pp. 249-260
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011529683
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The impact of monetary regime changes : some exchange rate evidence
Caporale, Tony - In: Journal of economic behavior & organization : JEBO 35 (1998) 1, pp. 85-94
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001244066
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Forecasting realized (co)variances with a block structure Wishart autoregressive model
Bonato, Matteo; Caporin, Massimiliano; Ranaldo, Angelo - 2012 - Current Draft: November 2008
treasury bills and two exchange rates. We compare our restricted specifications with the traditional WAR parameterizations. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010407673
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How government bond prices reflect wartime events : the case of the Stockholm market
Waldenström, Daniel; Frey, Bruno S. - 2002
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001687787
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How government bond prices reflect wartime events : the case of the Stockholm market
Waldenström, Daniel (contributor);  … - 2002 - [Elektronische Ressource]
. Unlike in countries involved in WWII, this market was unregulated. The outbreak of World War II heavily depressed prices of … substantially. The battle of Stalingrad turns out indeed to be a turning-point of the war. This approach represents a complementary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001638243
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Prewar and postwar macroeconomic uncertainty : an international prespective
Amuedo Dorantes, Catalina; Pozo, Susan - In: Journal of macroeconomics 23 (2001) 4, pp. 615-631
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001621981
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Prewar and Postwar Macroeconomic Uncertainty : An International Perspective
Pozo, Susan; Amuedo-Dorantes, Catalina - 2001
Time series on U.S. international macroeconomic variables from the prewar period are compared to postwar data to explore whether the uncertainty experienced by economic agents differs over the two historical time periods. Conditional time series measures of uncertainty reveal that shocks to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014130620