In this paper we introduce new Dynamic Conditional Score (DCS) models for the Skew-Gen-t (Skewed Generalized t) and NIG (Normal-Inverse Gaussian) distributions as alternatives to the recent DCS models for the Student’s-t and EGB2 (Exponential Generalized Beta of the second kind) distributions,...

After a long period of pegged, crawling or managed rates, Indonesia, Korea and Thailand have switched de jure to floating regimes after the 1997 Asian crisis. We focus on two issues: the volatility of exchange rates and the regime effect. Filters and GARCH type volatility models are applied to...

This paper investigates the empirical link between the US/UK real exchange rate and real interest differential for the period 1959-2002, using a bivariate Markov switching vector autoregression model. We find strong evidence of volatility regime switching in the US/UK real exchange rate-real...

This paper investigates effects of official dollarization on the macroeconomic performance of Ecuador using a time series perspective. More specifically, we investigate how dollarization effects inflation, GDP, inflation uncertainty and money-price relationship in Ecuador. There are four main...