Tanzania is among the many African countries that have engaged in agricultural liberalisation since the mid-1980s, in the hope that reforms which introduce price incentives and efficient marketing will encourage producers to respond. This paper assesses that claim by examining the supply...

Using the Box-Jenkins approach to forecast inflation in the small open economy, we find that ARIMA can partly show dynamics of the country's CPI. Remarkably, the index in the present month suffers much the inertia of the previous month's and corrects substantially compared to that of 3 months ago