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of the population below the poverty line which spends typically a large share of its income on food, we are able to … estimate the size of vulnerable population. Our empirical analysis reveals that 90 percent of the global poor (income below 1 …
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This paper evaluates how different types of speculation affect the volatility of commodities' futures prices. We adopt …-2010 analyzed at weekly frequency. Using GARCH models we find that speculation significantly affects volatility of returns: short … term speculation has a positive and significant impact on volatility, while long term speculation generally has a negative …
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