Showing 1 - 10 of 13,509
We develop a novel machine learning method to estimate large dimensional time-varying GMM models via our newly designed ridge fusion regularization scheme. Our method is a one-step procedure and allows for abrupt, smooth and dual type time variation with a fast rate of convergence. It...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013234588
This paper examines the effectiveness of using futures contracts as hedging instruments of: (1) alternative models of …, Euro, British pound and Japanese yen, against the American dollar, are used to analyze hedge ratios and hedging … optimal portfolio weights and optimal hedge ratios to identify appropriate currency hedging strategies. The hedging …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013113663
dollar long in crude oil spot. Finally, the hedging effectiveness indicates that DCC (BEKK) is the best (worst) model for OHR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149486
The estimation of multivariate GARCH models remains a challenging task, even in modern computer environments. This manuscript shows how Independent Component Analysis can be used to estimate the Generalized Orthogonal GARCH model in a fraction of the time otherwise required. The proposed method...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003961455
We propose a new approach to optimal portfolio selection in a downside risk framework that allocates assets by maximizing expected return subject to a shortfall probability constraint, reflecting the typical desire of a risk-averse investor to limit the maximum likely loss. Our empirical results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013148785
This paper is concerned with statistical inference and model evaluation in possibly misspecified and unidentified linear asset-pricing models estimated by maximum likelihood and one-step generalized method of moments. Strikingly, when spurious factors (that is, factors that are uncorrelated with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011757568
We propose a new methodology for abnormal return detection and correction, and evaluate the economic impacts of outliers on asset allocations with higher-order moments (Cf. Jurczenko et al., 2008). Indeed, extreme returns and outliers greatly affect empirical higher-order moment estimations (Cf....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159253
We introduce a simulation-free method to model and forecast multiple asset returns and employ it to investigate the optimal ensemble of features to include when jointly predicting monthly stock and bond excess returns. Our approach builds on the Bayesian Dynamic Linear Models of West and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910552
A discrete time model of financial markets is considered. It is assumed that the stock price evolution is described by a homogeneous Markov chain. In the focus of attention is the expected value of the guaranteed profit of the investor that arises when the jumps of the stock price are bounded....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009728973
In this article, we extend the Black-Litterman approach to a continuous time setting. We model analyst views jointly with asset prices to estimate the unobservable factors driving asset returns. The key in our approach is that the filtering problem and the stochastic control problem are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082305