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What is self-governance, and under what sets of institutions is it possible? We explore this question from the perspective of informal (de facto) constitutionalism. The dominant approach, grounded in formal constitutionalism, overlooks crucial institutional features that determine whether...
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In this study, we analyzed the forecasting and nowcasting performance of a generalized regression neural network (GRNN). We provide evidence from Monte Carlo simulations for the relative forecast performance of GRNN depending on the data-generating process. We show that GRNN outperforms an...
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Extensive empirical studies on the rationality of expectations as defined by Muth have revolved around tests on a … single series of forecast data, with results differing widely across studies. Rationality as an assessor characteristic has … long been of interest in economic theory and practice. However, as non-replicated events, single series tests do not …
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