In this paper we study the asset-liability management of an insurance company selling “participating contracts”. Participating contracts are typical insurance policies sold worldwide.The payoff of a participating policy is linked to the portfolio or the surplus of the insurance company. We...

Expectiles (EVaR) are a one-parameter family of coherent risk measures that have been recently suggested as an alternative to quantiles (VaR) and to Expected Shortfall (ES). In this work we review their known properties, we discuss their financial meaning, we compare them with VaR and ES and we...

The inherent assumption with most Monte Carlo techniques is that one may ignore autocorrelations, but doing so compromises the quality of the prediction from the data. Simulations that do not take account of autocorrelation will not properly model reality, as there is significant autocorrelation...

The analysis of diffusion processes in financial models is crucially dependent on the form of the drift and diffusion coefficient functions. A methodology is proposed for estimating and testing coefficient functions for ergodic diffusions that are not directly observable. It is based on...

The time-series nature of mortality rates lends itself to processing through neural networks that are specialized to deal with sequential data, such as recurrent and convolutional networks. Although appealing intuitively, a naive implementation of these networks does not lead to enhanced...

For many decades, the analysis of underwriting-profitability regimes (i.e., successive “hard” and “soft” markets) has formed an important topic in insurance research. In the present article, we study the characteristics of firm-level underwriting behavior by applying both ordinary and...

Risk management is now present in many economic sectors. This paper investigates the role of risk management in creating value for financial institutions by analyzing U.S. property-liability insurers. Property-liability insurers are financial intermediaries whose primary role in the economy is...

This paper reviews household property risk management and estimates normatively optimal choice under theoretical assumptions. Although risk retention limits are common in the financial planning industry, estimates of optimal risk retention that include both financial and human wealth far exceed...

Multi-population mortality forecasting has become an increasingly important area in actuarial science and demography, as a means to avoid long-run divergence in mortality projection. This paper aims to establish a unified state-space Bayesian framework to model, estimate and forecast mortality...