Brownian motion. -- asymptotic uniformity ; local limit theorem ; volatility …

Stock market volatility clusters in time, appears fractionally integrated, carries a risk premium, and exhibits … asymmetric leverage effects relative to returns. At the same time, the volatility risk premium, defined by the difference between … the risk-neutral and objective expectations of the volatility, is distinctly less persistent and appears short …

Stock market volatility clusters in time, appears fractionally integrated, carries a risk premium, and exhibits … asymmetric leverage effects relative to returns. At the same time, the volatility risk premium, defined by the difference between … the risk-neutral and objective expectations of the volatility, is distinctly less persistent and appears short …

allocation and risk management require estimates of the volatility of these factors. While realized volatility has become a … provide a statistical approach to estimate the volatility of these factors. The efficacy of this approach relative to the use … of models based on squared returns is demonstrated for forecasts of the market volatility and a portfolio allocation …

decomposing realized volatility in its continuous and discontinuous jump component. First, we analyze the relation between … volatility and trading activity. Coherent with existing studies we find that the driving factor of the relation between … Data ; Realized Volatility ; Price Jump ; Trading Activity ; Urgent Market Message …

This paper studies the information content of the S&P 500 and VIX markets on the volatility of the S&P 500 returns. We … risk-neutral distributions as well as the term structure of volatility smiles and of variance risk premia. We find that the …

volatility's hidden state. Stochastic volatility is the unobserved state in a hidden Markov model (HMM), and can be tracked using … density on volatility. Our analysis relies on a specification of the martingale change of measure, which we will refer to as … separability. This specification has a multiplicative component that behaves like a risk premium on volatility-uncertainty in the …

diversified portfolio of international futures contracts. We find that their results are largely driven by volatility … volatility, time series momentum and a buy-and-hold strategy offer similar cumulative returns, and their alphas are not …

volume or volatility are associated with the strongest intraday time-series momentum dynamics. Based on this, we propose an …