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Trend extraction from time series is often performed by using the filter proposed by Leser (1961), also known as the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010427520
Trend extraction from time series is often performed by using the filter proposed by Leser (1961), also known as the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003951479
This paper analyzes how the OECD revises potential output (PO) estimates after recessions. We show that downward revisions are substantial and mostly driven by supply shocks while PO estimates do not significantly react to demand shocks. In addition, revisions are partly caused by avoidable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011798221
This paper discusses various approaches to decompose economic time series into their trend and cyclical components. For … over 30 years now, the Deutsche Bundesbank publishes trend-adjusted indicators in its Statistical Supplement 4 entitled …-King low-pass filter are investigated. All three of the filters are able to clearly separate the trend component from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295687
We develop and test a robust procedure for extracting an underlying signal in form of a time-varying trend from very … patient's condition. We use robust regression functionals for local approximation of the trend in a moving time window. For …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010306262
-linear trend along with fractional integration outperforms alternative models over long horizons. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264382
This note shows that German real GDP follows a trend-stationary process. Both tests which have trend-stationarity as … the alternative hypothesis as well as tests that have it under the null hypothesis prefer the trend-stationary model …. Explicit consideration of breaks in the trend is not necessary to obtain this result. The trend-stationary model with breaks is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265453
Trend extraction from time series is often performed by using the filter proposed by Leser (1961), also known as the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010427486
Trend extraction from time series is often performed by using the filter proposed by Leser (1961), also known as the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010427491
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000556771