What explains the persistence of unemployment? The literature on hysteresis, which is based on unit root testing in … autoregressive models, consists of a vast number of univariate studies, i.e. that analyze unemployment series in isolation, but few … multivariate analyses that focus on the sources of hysteresis. As a result, this question remains largely unanswered. This paper …

In this paper we have examined the unemployment rate series in Turkey by using long memory models and in particular … employing fractionally integrated techniques. Our results suggest that unemployment in Turkey is highly persistent, with orders …. We found evidence in favor of mean reversion in the case of female unemployment and this happens for all the groups of …

This paper analyses the Nairu in the Euro Area and the influence that hysteresis had on its development. Using the … is applied here using explicit exogenous variables. In order to test for hysteresis, the dependence of the Nairu on … actual unemployment and long-term unemployment is estimated and found to be significant for the Euro Area and Germany …

In this paper we have examined the unemployment rate series in Turkey by using long memory models and in particular … employing fractionally integrated techniques. Our results suggest that unemployment in Turkey is highly persistent, with orders …. We found evidence in favor of mean reversion in the case of female unemployment and this happens for all the groups of …

In this paper we have examined the unemployment rate series in Turkey by using long memory models and in particular … employing fractionally integrated techniques. Our results suggest that unemployment in Turkey is highly persistent, with orders …. We found evidence in favor of mean reversion in the case of female unemployment and this happens for all the groups of …

In this paper we have examined the unemployment rate series in Turkey by using long memory models and in particular … employing fractionally integrated techniques. Our results suggest that unemployment in Turkey is highly persistent, with orders …. We found evidence in favor of mean reversion in the case of female unemployment and this happens for all the groups of …

in German unemployment is fully explained by hysteresis. The Great Recession was well absorbed because both hysteresis …We construct a new Markov-switching unobserved components framework for the analysis of hysteresis effects. Our model … effects and structural unemployment were substantially reduced after institutional reforms. In contrast, U.S. unemployment did …

A new test for hysteresis based on a nonlinear unobserved components model is proposed. Observed unemployment rates are … cyclical unemployment to have a different impact on the natural rate depending on the regime of the economy. The impact of … lagged cyclical shocks on the current natural component is the measure of hysteresis. To derive anappropriate p-value for a …

. -- Unemployment ; Input Prices ; Long Memory ; Fractional Integration ; Fractional Cointegration …This paper examines the relationship between unemployment, real oil price and real interest rates in Canada. Instead of … following the classical approach based on I(0) stationarity or I(1) cointegrating relationships, we use fractional integration/cointegration …

We study how the output gap affects potential output over time-i.e., the dynamic hysteresis effect. To do so, we … introduce novel unobserved components (UC) models that consider hysteresis as a sequence of lagged effects, thus separating the … hysteresis effects after the 1970s, with the negative long-run effect of the Global Financial Crisis and the COVID-19 recessions …