This paper studies the optimal consumption behavior of individuals who face borrowing limitations that vary stochastically with their income. This framework is motivated by new empirical evidence that I document in U.S. aggregate data: predictable growth in consumer credit is significantly...

This paper makes three contributions. First, I construct annual time series of gross domestic investment and national saving in the United States for the 1897-1949 period using historical component series. I compare the qualitative and quantitative properties of the newly constructed series with...

With a steep fall in the national savings rate in developing economies attributed to external shocks and stagnation of economic growth, this study will investigate the key drivers that explain variations in the public savings rate in Kenya using time series data spanning from 1975 to 2020....

One of the fundamental shortcoming of the popular analysis tools for time series is that they require the data to be taken at uniform time intervals. However, the real-world time series, such as those from financial markets, are mostly from irregular time intervals. It is a common practice to...

Resource mobilization continues to be an important policy challenge for developing economies, raising questions as to what determines differences in saving behaviour across countries. Using a panel of 47 economies with at least 40 years of continuous time series data, we causally identify, using...

Using Gretl, I apply ARMA, Vector ARMA, VAR, state-space model with a Kalman filter, transfer-function and intervention models, unit root tests, cointegration test, volatility models (ARCH, GARCH, ARCH-M, GARCH-M, Taylor-Schwert GARCH, GJR, TARCH, NARCH, APARCH, EGARCH) to analyze quarterly time...

This paper tests an intertemporal consumption-leisure model with non-expected utility. There is evidence to reject the commonly used expected-utility specification and to accept the non-expected utility one as the model's restrictions are not rejected by the data

In this paper we use the enhanced consumption data in the Panel Survey of Income Dynamics (PSID) from 2005-2017 to explore the transmission of income shocks to consumption. We build on the nonlinear quantile framework introduced in Arellano, Blundell and Bonhomme (2017). Our focus is on the...

It is shown how one can effectively use microdata in modelling the change over time in an aggregate (e.g. mean consumption expenditure) of a large and heterogeneous population. The starting point of our aggregation analysis is a specification of explanatory variables on the micro-level....