In this paper data-driven algorithms for fitting SEMIFAR models (Beran, 1999) are proposed. The algorithms combine the data-driven estimation of the nonparametric trend and maximum likelihood estimation of the parameters. For selecting the bandwidth, the proposal of Beran and Feng (1999) based...

The distinction between stationarity, difference stationarity, deterministic trends as well as between short- and long-range dependence has a major impact on statistical conclusions, such as confidence intervals for population quantities or point and interval forecasts. In this paper, recent...

Prediction in time series models with a trend requires reliable estimation of the trend function at the right end of the observed series. Local polynomial smoothing is a suitable tool because boundary corrections are included implicitly. However, outliers may lead to unreliable estimates, if...

This paper considers a class of semiparametric models being the sum of a non-parametric trend function g and a FARIMA-GARCH error process. Estimation of ĝ (v), the vth derivative of g, by local polynomial fitting is investigated. The focus is on the derivation of the asymptotic normality of ĝ...

Nonparametric regression with long-range and antipersistent errors is considered. Local polynomial smoothing is investigated for the estimation of the trend function and its derivatives. It is well known that in the presence of long memory (with a fractional differencing parameter 0 d 1/2),...

This paper summarizes recent developments in non- and semiparametric regression with stationary fractional time series errors, where the error process may be short-range, long-range dependent or antipersistent. The trend function in this model is estimated nonparametrically, while the dependence...