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Dynamic discrete-choice models are an important tool in studies of state dependence in benefit receipt. A common assumption of such models is that benefit receipt sequences follow a conditional Markov process. This property has implications for how estimated period-to-period benefit transition...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011453987
Konjunkturzyklus. Es zeigt sich, dass der jahrzehntelange Aufwärtstrend der Arbeitslosigkeit in Deutschland vollständig durch Hysterese … erklärt werden kann. Dagegen folgte die Arbeitslosigkeit in den USA keinem Hysterese-Muster, auch nicht während der großen … Rezession. Deutschland überstand diese Rezession so gut, weil sowohl Hysterese als auch strukturelle Arbeitslosigkeit durch …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011372431
I expose the risk of false discoveries in the context of multiple treatment effects. A false discovery is a nonexistent effect that is falsely labeled as statistically significant by its individual t-value. Labeling nonexistent effects as statistically significant has wide-ranging academic and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316851
I expose the risk of false discoveries in the context of multiple treatment effects. A false discovery is a nonexistent effect that is falsely labeled as statistically significant by its individual t-value. Labeling nonexistent effects as statistically significant has wide-ranging academic and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009740949
I analyze the matching process in the Spanish labor market from 1994-2005. I use monthly registered unemployment data … emphasize the crucial role of the demand in generating the outflows from unemployment to employment. The ECT coefficient … from unemployment to employment appears to be the sole endogenous variable. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011452859
One of the stylized facts of unemployment is that shifts in its mean rate between decades and half-decades account for …-parametric density estimation techniques to identify the dates of infrequent changes in the mean of the unemployment rate series of 17 … countries. They find that in most countries, unemployment persistence is small once the (infrequently) changing mean rate has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014219762
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011439106
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001221183
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013264764
This paper revisits the dynamics of unemployment rate for 29 OECD countries over the period of 1980-2013. Numerous … empirical studies of the dynamics of unemployment rate are carried out within a linear framework. However, unemployment rate can … time series exhibits nonlinear behaviour. Our empirical findings provide significant evidence in favour of unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011407928