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robust filtering and forecasting. We provide sufficient conditions for the strong consistency and asymptotic normality of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012795401
This paper considers the problem of statistical inference in linear regression models whose stochastic regressors and … regression hypotheses. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010284208
In time series regressions with nonparametrically autocorrelated errors, it is now standard empirical practice to use kernel-based robust standard errors that involve some smoothing function over the sample autocorrelations. The underlying smoothing parameter b, which can be defined as the ratio...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783449
standard Wald statistic diverges to infinity and the regression becomes spurious as long as δ → 0 sufficiently fast relative to T …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892708
We characterize the dynamic properties of Generalized Autoregressive Score (GAS) processes by identifying regions of the parameter space that imply stationarity and ergodicity. We show how these regions are affected by the choice of parameterization and scaling, which are key features of GAS...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326396
This paper is a general investigation of temporal aggregation in time series analysis. It encompasses traditional research on time aggregation as a particular case and extends the analysis to irregular intervals of aggregation. The Data Generating Process is allowed to evolve at regular,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318618
Unobserved components time series models decompose a time series into a trend, a season, a cycle, an irregular disturbance, and possibly other components. These models have been successfully applied to many economic time series. The standard assumption of a linear model, often appropriate after...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374413
To gain insights in the current status of the economy, macroeconomic time series are often decomposed into trend, cycle and irregular components. This can be done by nonparametric band-pass filtering methods in the frequency domain or by model-based decompositions based on autoregressive moving...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346480
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009722625
We characterize the dynamic properties of Generalized Autoregressive Score (GAS) processes by identifying regions of the parameter space that imply stationarity and ergodicity. We show how these regions are affected by the choice of parameterization and scaling, which are key features of GAS...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065930