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Long memory (long-term dependence) of volatility counts as one of the ubiquitous stylized facts of financial data … via both maximum likelihood and simulation based inference approaches. In order to explore its practical performance, we … models ; simulation based inference ; value-at-risk ; expected shortfall …
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basis in the simulation results a simple framework is proposed and illustrated. -- Return variability forecasting … ; financial volatility ; explanatory modelling …
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conditional variance is modelled by a stochastic volatility process. We develop a Monte Carlo maximum likelihood method to obtain … variance, in the order of integration, in the short memory characteristics and in the volatility of volatility. …
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The linear Gaussian state space model for which the common variance istreated as a stochastic time-varying variable is considered for themodelling of economic time series. The focus of this paper is on thesimultaneous estimation of parameters related to the stochasticprocesses of the mean part...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327834
We propose a new method (implemented in an R-program) to simulate long-range daily stock-price data. The program reproduces various stylized facts much better than various parametric models from the extended GARCH-family. In particular, the empirically observed changes in unconditional variance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011444067