Flow data across regions can be modeled by spatial econometric models, see LeSage and Pace (2009). Recently, regional studies became interested in the aggregation and disaggregation of flow models, because trade data cannot be obtained at a disaggregated level but data are published on an...

This research uses annual time series data on CO2 emissions in India from 1960 to 2017, to model and forecast CO2 using the Box – Jenkins ARIMA approach. Our diagnostic tests indicate that India CO2 emission data is I (2). The study presents the ARIMA (2, 2, 0) model. The diagnostic tests...

The present paper discourses on how European integration and gradual enlargement has affected the synchronicity in business cycles in EU regions. The analysis, which is conducted on annual data at the NUTSII level, is based on the following grounds: First, it examines the degree of synchronicity...

The inherent assumption with most Monte Carlo techniques is that one may ignore autocorrelations, but doing so compromises the quality of the prediction from the data. Simulations that do not take account of autocorrelation will not properly model reality, as there is significant autocorrelation...

Expectiles (EVaR) are a one-parameter family of coherent risk measures that have been recently suggested as an alternative to quantiles (VaR) and to Expected Shortfall (ES). In this work we review their known properties, we discuss their financial meaning, we compare them with VaR and ES and we...

In this paper an attempt is made to assess the hypothesis of re- gional club-convergence, using a spatial panel analysis combined with B-Splines. In this context, a 'convergence-club' is conceived as a group of regions that in the long-run move towards steady-state equilib- rium, approximated in...

The Hodrick-Prescott (HP) method is a popular smoothing method for economic time series to get a smooth or long-term component of stationary series like growth rates. We show that the HP smoother can be viewed as a Bayesian linear model with a strong prior using differencing matrices for the...

The COVID-19 pandemic has caused a substantial increase in house price growth and its seasonal amplitude. This change has presented challenges to traditional seasonal adjustment methods, such as the U.S. Census Bureau's X-12 method. This study tests for residual seasonality in three major...

The existing body of academic literature reveals that production, distribution, and consumption might be both consistently connected and geographically scattered. This requires assessing the spatial order of production–distribution–consumption cycle, within which exploring of spatial...