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A comparison of forecasting methods : fundamentals, polling, prediction markets, and experts
Pathak, Deepak; Rothschild, David; Dudik, Miroslav - In: The journal of prediction markets 9 (2015) 2, pp. 1-31
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011415546
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Multiple days ahead realized volatility forecasting : single, combined and average forecasts
Degiannakis, Stavros - In: Global finance journal 36 (2018), pp. 41-61
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012125013
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Local prediction pools
Oelrich, Oscar; Villani, Mattias; Ankargren, Sebastian - In: Journal of forecasting 43 (2024) 1, pp. 103-117
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014443187
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Forecasting bulk prices of Bordeaux wines using leading indicators
Paroissien, Emmanuel - In: International journal of forecasting 36 (2020) 2, pp. 292-309
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012414766
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Probabilistic electricity price forecasting with NARX networks : combine point or probabilistic forecasts?
Marcjasz, Grzegorz; Uniejewski, Bartosz; Weron, Rafał - In: International journal of forecasting 36 (2020) 2, pp. 466-479
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012415156
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Combining predictive distributions for the statistical post-processing of ensemble forecasts
Baran, Sándor; Lerch, Sebastian - In: International journal of forecasting 34 (2018) 3, pp. 477-496
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012031024
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Nonparametric predictive reliability of series of voting systems
Aboalkhair, Ahmad M.; Coolen, Frank P. A.; MacPhee, Ian M. - In: European journal of operational research : EJOR 226 (2013) 1, pp. 77-84
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009715681
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Combining Forecasts : An Application to Elections
Graefe, Andreas; Armstrong, J. Scott; Jones, Randall J.; … - 2014
reduction in error obtained by averaging forecasts within and across four election forecasting methods: poll projections, expert …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014042972
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The impact of uncertainty on professional exchange rate forecasts
Beckmann, Joscha; Czudaj, Robert - 2016
This paper analyzes the role of uncertainty on both exchange rate expectations and forecast errors of professionals for … Bayesian VAR approach, we observe that effects on forecast errors of professionals turn out to be more significant compared to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011532311
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Insolvency forecasting through trend analysis with full ignorance of probabilities
Poláček, Tomáš; Kruntorádová, Markéta - In: Acta oeconomica Pragensia : vědecký časopis Vysoke … 27 (2019) 3/4, pp. 17-30
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012372881