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Over the last two centuries, the cross-spectral coherence between either narrow or broad money growth and inflation at … other countries, thus implying that the fraction of inflation’s long-run variation explained by long-run money growth has … correspondence with the inflationary outbursts associated with World War I and the Great Inflation–but not World War II …
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authorities tried to deliver a low and stable inflation from 1975 onwards, however, the severe adverse supply shocks in the 70s …
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In this paper we address the issue of assessing and communicating the joint probabilities implied by density forecasts from multivariate time series models. We focus our attention in three areas. First, we investigate a new method of producing fan charts that better communicates the uncertainty...
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Restrictions from economic theory are usually placed on the parameter space in DSGE models. Such restrictions are also utilized to ensure identifiability. But even when the population parameter value is consistent with theory, the likelihood maximizer need not be. This paper documents the...
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This paper investigates multivariate Beveridge-Nelson decomposition of key macro aggregate data. We find (a) inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011342928