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Introducing the approach by Masanao Aoki (1981) to time series econometrics, we show that the dynamics of symmetric linear possibly cointegrated two-country VAR models can be separated into two autonomous subsystems: the country averages and country differences, where the latter includes the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010228330
This paper uses fractional integration and cointegration in order to model the DM/dollar and the yen/dollar real exchange rates in terms of both monetary and real factors, more specifically real interest rate and labour productivity differentials. We find that whilst the individual series may be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009611542
our procedure to the Johansen-Juselius PPP-UIP database, and unlike the standard case, we do not fail to reject the null …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014223395
An explication of the key ideas behind the Cointegrated Vector Autoregression Approach. The CVAR approach is related to Haavelmo's famous quot;Probability Approach in Econometricsquot; (1944). It insists on careful stochastic specification as a necessary groundwork for econometric inference and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012726093
The purpose of this study is to investigate the validity of the absolute version of the purchasing power parity (PPP … of PPP we apply the Augmented Dickey-Fuller, DF-GLS and KPSS tests for non-stationarity, and the Johansen procedure for … 77,39 months. Overall, unit root tests show that absolute PPP may hold, but this depends on the country and the selected …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044515
This paper examines the long-run validity of purchasing power parity (PPP) for four high-inflation countries. The … test PPP using Johansen's (1988) multivariate cointegration technique. The cointegration tests are conducted with the …, during the recent floating exchange rate period, PPP holds well, at least in a weak form, in high-inflation countries where …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014071881
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012229937
This paper investigates the dynamics of aggregate wages and prices in the United States (US) and the Euro Area (EA) with a special focus on persistence of real wages, wage and price inflation. The analysis is conducted within a structural vector errorcorrection model, where the structural shocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003867061
There are a number of econometrics tools to deal with the different types of situations in which cointegration can appear: I(1), I(2), seasonal, polyno- mial, etc. There are also different kinds of Vector Error Correction models related to these situations. The authors propose a unified...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011554319
There are a number of econometrics tools to deal with the different type of situations in which cointegration can appear: I(1), I(2), seasonal, polynomial, etc. There are also different kinds of Vector Error Correction models related to these situations. We propose a unified theoretical and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011499608