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We develop an exact and distribution-free procedure to test for quantile predictability at several quantile levels jointly, while allowing for an endogenous predictive regressor with any degree of persistence. The approach proceeds by combining together the quantile regression t-statistics from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012946689
This paper proposes methods for both the consistent estimation of so-called long run canonical correlations (LRCCs) and also testing the null hypothesis that a subset of LRCCs are zero. Two test statistics are proposed and their limiting distribution is derived under the null hypothesis. It is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155084
We review developments in conducting inference for model parameters in the presence of intertemporal and cross‐sectional dependence with an emphasis on panel data applications. We review the use of heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent (HAC) standard error estimators, which include...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012871991
This paper considers inference in log-linearized dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models with weakly (including un-) identified parameters. The framework allows for analysis using only part of the spectrum, say at the business cycle frequencies. First, we characterize weak...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011757270
We consider robust inference for an autoregressive parameter in a stationary autoregressive model with GARCH innovations when estimation is based on least squares estimation. As the innovations exhibit GARCH, they are by construction heavy-tailed with some tail index κ. The rate of consistency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012946453
This article highlights the importance of statistical tests on the trend coefficient in cointegrating regressions when the stochastic regressors contain a deterministic linear trend. In addition to deriving asymptotic theory for t statistics constructed using integrated and modified ordinary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014078083
We find the asymptotic distribution of the multi-dimensional multi-scale and kernel estimators for high-frequency financial data with microstructure. Sampling times are allowed to be asynchronous. The central limit theorem is shown to have a feasible version. In the process, we show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009684676
We propose the use of indirect inference estimation to conduct inference in complex locally stationary models. We develop a local indirect inference algorithm and establish the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimator. Due to the nonparametric nature of locally stationary models, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852112
The Internet Appendix collects the proofs and additional results that support the main text. We show in simulations that our estimators perform well relative to alternative estimators and can be improved even further with an iterative approach. We also confirm that the distribution results,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013251067
This paper develops the inferential theory for latent factor models estimated from large dimensional panel data with missing observations. We propose an easy-to-use all-purpose estimator for a latent factor model by applying principal component analysis to an adjusted covariance matrix estimated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012847447