Intro; Title page; Table of Contents; Copyright; List of Figures; List of Tables; Preface; Chapter 1. Linear Regression Model; Abstract; 1.1 Inference in Linear Regression Models; 1.2 Testing for Violations of the Linear Regression Framework; 1.3 Specifying the Regressors; 1.4 Issues With...

We use monthly data on the US riskless yield curve for a 1982-2015 sample to show that mixing simple regime switching dynamics with Nelson-Siegel factor forecasts from time series models extended to encompass variables that summarize the state of monetary policy, leads to superior predictive...