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A critique of the Richardson equations
Beckmann, Klaus; Gattke, Susan; Lechner, Anja-Maria; … - 2016
We review, and extend, one of the classic dynamic models of conflict in economics by Richardson (1919) and Boulding … of conflict. In addition, we explore an incrementalist version of the model as well as a stochastic one and show how this … dynamic conflict. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011442602
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Inference on Nonparametrically Trending Time Series with Fractional Errors
Robinson, Peter M. - 2009
The central limit theorem for nonparametric kernel estimates of a smooth trend, with linearly-generated errors, indicates asymptotic independence and homoscedasticity across fixed points, irrespective of whether disturbances have short memory, long memory, or antipersistence. However, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159963
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Persistence in UK historical data on life expectancy
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Infante, Juan; Rio, Marta del; … - 2023
This paper provides estimates of persistence in historical UK data on life expectancy applying fractional integration methods to both an annual series from 1842 to 2019 and a 5-year average from 1543 to 2019. The results indicate that the former exhibits an upward trend and is persistent but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013550208
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Do fences make good neighbours? : evidence from an insurgency in India
Kaila, Heidi; Singhal, Saurabh; Tuteja, Divya - 2017
India has employed a variety of military, political, and economic measures to combat the long running insurgency in Kashmir with little evidence on what contributes to stability in the region. This paper uses a variety of tests to detect structural breaks in the time series for violence over the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011776470
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Temporal Causality and the Dynamic Interactions between Terms of Trade and Current Account Deficits in Co-Integrated VAR Processes : Further Evidence from Ivorian Time Series
Kouassi, Eugene; Decaluwe, Bernard; Kapombe, Crispin M.; … - 1998
This paper investigates the relationship between the terms of trade and current account deficits within a context of VECM. The results indicate that for the Ivory Coast there is a long-run relationship between the terms of trade and current account deficits. They also indicate that current...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014104020
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Dynamics of macroeconomic uncertainty on economic growth in the presence of fiscal consolidation in South Africa from 1994 to 2022
Buthelezi, Eugene Msizi - In: Economies : open access journal 11 (2023) 4, pp. 1-24
This paper investigates the effects of macroeconomic uncertainty on economic growth in the presence of fiscal consolidation in South Africa. Markov-switching dynamic regression (MSDR) and time-varying parameter vector autoregression (TVP-VAR) were performed using time series data from 1994 to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014318263
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Temporal Causality and the Dynamic Interactions between Terms of Trade and Current Account Deficits in Co-Integrated VAR Processes : Further Evidence from Ivorian Time Series
Kouassi, Eugene; Decaluwe, Bernard; Kapombe, Crispin M.; … - 2001
This paper investigates the relationship between the terms of trade and current account deficits within a context of VECM. The results indicate that for the Ivory Coast there is a long-run relationship between the terms of trade and current account deficits. They also indicate that current...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014066166
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Economic growth and recovery after civil wars
Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; Prakarsh Singh - In: Peace economics, peace science and public policy 20 (2014) 4, pp. 565-574
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010510893
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Growth recovery after civil conflict : a fractional integration approach
Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; Prakarsh Singh - In: Defence and peace economics 27 (2016) 4, pp. 453-479
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011621180
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Happiness and economic growth : the evidence
Easterlin, Richard A. - 2013
Long term trends in happiness and income are not related; short term fluctuations in happiness and income are positively associated. Evidence for this is found in time series data for developed countries, transition countries, and less developed countries, whether analyzed separately or pooled....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009699443