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I analyze time series momentum along the Treasury term structure. Past bond returns predict future returns both due to … autocorrelation in bond risk premia and because unexpected bond return shocks increase the premium. Yield curve momentum is primarily … due to autocorrelation in yield changes rather than autocorrelation in bond carry and can largely be captured using a …
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In this paper, we study the dynamics and drivers of sovereign bond yields in euro area countries using a factor model … mechanism of bond yields. Our key contribution is exploring both the global and the local dimensions of bond yield determinants … periphery euro area bond yields from the core countries yields following the financial crisis and the scope of their subsequent …
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