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models. We show that HF-based predictions yield a significantly lower portfolio volatility than methods employing daily …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009714536
models. We show that HF-based predictions yield a significantly lower portfolio volatility than methods employing daily …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085726
This paper develops a statistical theory to estimate an unknown factor structure based on financial high-frequency data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937382
Based on a General Dynamic Factor Model with infinite-dimensional factor space and MGARCH common shocks, we develop new estimation and forecasting procedures for conditional covariance matrices in high-dimensional time series. The finite-sample performance of our approach is evaluated via Monte...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012849009
A discrete time model of a financial market is considered. We focus on the study of a guaranteed profit of an investor which arises when the stock price jumps are bounded. The limit distribution of the profit as the model becomes closer to the classical model of the geometric Brownian motion is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009726804
Brownian motion. -- asymptotic uniformity ; local limit theorem ; volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009728974
Ethanol has been the subject of intense debate following the adoption of the Energy Policy Act of 2005 (EPAct) which established that the gasoline supply in the United States (U.S.) must contain 10% ethanol. This work seeks to identify hedging ratios using dynamic multivariate GARCH to best...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012979327
Stock market volatility clusters in time, appears fractionally integrated, carries a risk premium, and exhibits … asymmetric leverage effects relative to returns. At the same time, the volatility risk premium, defined by the difference between … the risk-neutral and objective expectations of the volatility, is distinctly less persistent and appears short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013144799
This paper presents time-series of higher-order volatilities for the S&P 500 and EURUSD. We use a 3-volatility model …-Scholes implied volatility smile; accordingly we term them "base", "skew" and "smile" volatility. We define instantaneous skewness and …-delta.For the S&P 500 in 2008, skew and smile volatility are highly correlated with base volatility. Instantaneous skewness and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149126
We examine local-stochastic volatility models and derive a simple condition such models need to obey so that the carry …-even levels of the local volatility model - itself in the admissible class …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012965150