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We assess the extent to which the imposition of a no-arbitrage restriction on the dynamic Nelson-Siegel model helps obtaining more accurate forecasts of the term structure. For that purpose, we provide an empirical application based on a large panel of Brazilian interest rate future contracts...
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In this paper, we analyze the forecasting performance of several parametric extensions of the popular Dynamic Nelson-Siegel (DNS) model for the yield curve. Our focus is on the role of additional and time-varying decay parameters, conditional heteroscedasticity, and macroeconomic variables. We...
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