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When analysing the volatility related to high frequency financial data, mostly non-parametric approaches based on realised or bipower variation are applied. This article instead starts from a continuous time diffusion model and derives a parametric analog at high frequency for it, allowing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374428
The seminal work of Fudenberg and Tirole [Preemption and Rent Equalization in the Adoption of New Technology, Rev. Econ. Stud., 1985] on how preemption erodes the value of an option to wait raises general questions about the relation between models in discrete and continuous time and thus about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012994882
We divide hedging methods between single-period and multi-period. After reviewing some well-known hedging algorithms, two new procedures are introduced, called Dickey-Fuller Optimal (DFO), Mini-Max Subset Correlation (MMSC). The former is a multi-period, cointegration-based hedging method that...
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An appropriate metric for the success of an algorithm to forecast the variance of the rate of return on a capital asset could be the incremental profit from substituting it for the next best alternative. We propose a framework to assess incremental profits for competing algorithms to forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475683
We study forward curves formed from commodity futures prices listed on the Standard and Poor's-Goldman Sachs Commodities Index (S&P GSCI) using recently developed tools in functional time series analysis. Functional tests for stationarity and serial correlation suggest that log-differenced...
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This paper proposes and estimates dynamic hedge ratios using a Vector Error Correction Markov Switching Multifractal (VEC-MSM) model, and examines its hedging effectiveness using conditional VaR coverage. The VEC-MSM model introduces an error correction mechanism in the mean equation that...
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