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We introduce a new fractionally integrated model for covariance matrix dynamics based on the long-memory behavior of daily realized covariance matrix kernels and daily return observations. We account for fat tails in both types of data by appropriate distributional assumptions. The covariance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011531139
We propose a novel multivariate GARCH model that incorporates realized measures for the variance matrix of returns. The key novelty is the joint formulation of a multivariate dynamic model for outer-products of returns, realized variances and realized covariances. The updating of the variance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011520881
This paper proposes a new class of multivariate volatility model that utilising high-frequency data. We call this model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009351
The paper develops a novel realized matrix-exponential stochastic volatility model of multivariate returns and realized …. The volatility and co-volatility spillovers are examined via the news impact curves and the impulse response functions … from returns to volatility and co-volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011536626
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956794
models. We show that HF-based predictions yield a significantly lower portfolio volatility than methods employing daily …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009714536
components and the mixed-sign component load differently on economic information concerning stochastic correlation and jumps. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012116691
) multivariate volatility models, both in-sample and out-of-sample. We also comment on the possibility to use composite likelihood …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010364103
We present a new model to decompose total daily return volatility into a filtered (high-frequency based) open …-to-close volatility and a time-varying scaling factor. We use score-driven dynamics based on fat-tailed distributions to limit the impact …-to-close volatility changes substantially through time, especially for financial stocks. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012056853
Several novel large volatility matrix estimation methods have been developed based on the high-frequency financial data …. They often employ the approximate factor model that leads to a low-rank plus sparse structure for the integrated volatility … matrix and facilitates estimation of large volatility matrices. However, for predicting future volatility matrices, these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012941598