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This paper is concerned with statistical inference and model evaluation in possibly misspecified and unidentified linear asset-pricing models estimated by maximum likelihood and one-step generalized method of moments. Strikingly, when spurious factors (that is, factors that are uncorrelated with...
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state. It is shown that the steady state of the PtDR is jointly influenced by consumption risk, risking sharing, and the … demographic structure. Among those consumption risk is the dominating factor in shaping the variations in the steady state of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010340530
This paper analyzes and quantifies the idea of model risk in the environment of internal model building. We define … various types of model risk including estimation risk, model risk in distribution and model risk in functional form. By the … inflation rate and examine its impact on pension liabilities under the aspect of model risk. Under consideration of different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008909530
This paper develops a Monte-Carlo backtesting procedure for risk premia strategies and employs it to study Time … results are robust to using different time-series models, time periods, asset classes, and risk measures. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011990919
The long-run risk model introduced by R.Bansal and A.Yaron (2004) assumes the existence of a small predictable … persistence levels of shocks to consumption growth. In this paper the original long run risk model is extended introducing a novel …. Correspondingly the relations between equity return variations, cash flow risk and persistent fluctuations in the consumption mean are …
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