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volatility. The research also examines the impact of powerful foreign capital markets on the Greek Stock Exchange market, the … seasonality returns (Day-of-the-Week effect) and the volatility structure. Design/methodology/approach - The analysis of data is …-GARCH model demonstrate that the debt crisis and, therefore, its consequences increase the FTSE / ASE 20 index volatility and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011433994
In this study, the performance of the Multifractal Model of Asset Returns (MMAR) was examined for stock index returns of four emerging markets. The MMAR, which takes into account stylized facts of financial time series, such as long memory, fat tails and trading time, was developed as an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474619
study we investigate the mean-volatility spillover effects that happen across international stock markets. The study, by … taking into consideration the stock market returns based on various indices, investigates the mean-volatility spillover … precise and separate measures of return spillovers and volatility spillovers. The analysis provides the evidence of strong …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011872506
In this paper, we used the GARCH (1,1) and GARCH-M (1,1) models to investigate volatility and persistence at daily … persistence of volatility, meaning that the conditional volatility tends to revert faster to the long-term mean than the other … statistically significant and positive (thus confirming the hypothesis that an increase in volatility leads an increase in future …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011964941
Differences in the behaviour of asset prices depending on data frequency have not been thoroughly investigated in the literature despite their possible importance. In particular, high-frequency data might contain more information about financial assets because they are updated more rapidly in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015394356
strongest during bad economic times. In line with this evidence, we document that stock volatility predictability is also state …-series volatility models, in this paper we comprehensively examine how volatility forecastability varies across bull and bear states of … the stock market. We find that the volatility forecast horizon is substantially longer when the market is in a bear state …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012888804
This paper investigates the role of investor attention in forecasting realized volatility for fourteen international … augmented Empirical Similarity model that combines three volatility components, defined over different time horizons, using the … similarity measure between lagged Google search queries and volatility. Results show that investor attention positively affects …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012821063
Alternative strategies for predicting stock market volatility are examined. In out-of-sample forecasting experiments … implied-volatility information, derived from contemporaneously observed option prices or history-based volatility predictors …, such as GARCH models, are investigated, to determine if they are more appropriate for predicting future return volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009767118
This paper uses fractional integration techniques to examine the stochastic behaviour of high and low stock prices in Europe and then to test for the possible existence of long-run linkages between them by looking at the range, i.e., the difference between the two logged series. Specifically,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866394
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012129029