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Political budget cycles in the European Union and the impact of political pressures : a dynamic panel regression analysis
Efthyvoulou, Georgios - 2010
of a systematic electoral cycle in fiscal policy (i.e. spending and budget deficits are raised in election years … relative weight voters assign to non-economic issues prior to an election and positively correlated with the uncertainty over …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003920014
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A stochastic differential equation approach to the analysis of the 2017 and 2019 UK general election polls
Levene, Mark; Fenner, Trevor - In: International journal of forecasting 37 (2021) 3, pp. 1227-1234
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794848
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Combining Forecasts : An Application to Elections
Graefe, Andreas; Armstrong, J. Scott; Jones, Randall J.; … - 2014
reduction in error obtained by averaging forecasts within and across four election forecasting methods: poll projections, expert …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014042972
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Political Reforms and Public Policies: Evidence from Agricultural Protection
Olper, Alessandro; Falkowsk, Jan; Swinnen, Johan - 2009
This paper studies the effect of political regime transitions on public policy using a dataset on global agricultural distortions over 50 years (including data from 74 developing and developed countries over the period 1955-2005). We employ both difference-in-differences regressions and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010313324
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Using real-time data to test for political budget cycles
Jong-A-Pin, Richard; Sturm, Jan-Egbert; de Haan, Jakob - 2012
data are not affected by elections. However, we do find that governments spend more than reported before an election which … enhance his perceived competence. We also find that governments had higher current receipts than reported before an election …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319725
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Using real-time data to test for political budget cycles
Jong-A-Pin, Richard; Sturm, Jan-Egbert; de Haan, Jakob - 2012
data are not affected by elections. However, we do find that governments spend more than reported before an election which … enhance his perceived competence. We also find that governments had higher current receipts than reported before an election …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288232
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Using real-time data to test for political budget cycles
Jong-A-Pin, Richard; Sturm, Jan-Egbert; Haan, Jakob de - 2012 - This version: September 2012
data are not affected by elections. However, we do find that governments spend more than reported before an election which … enhance his perceived competence. We also find that governments had higher current receipts than reported before an election …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621694
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Using real-time data to test for political budget cycles
Jong-A-Pin, Richard; Sturm, Jan-Egbert; Haan, Jakob de - 2012
data are not affected by elections. However, we do find that governments spend more than reported before an election which … enhance his perceived competence. We also find that governments had higher current receipts than reported before an election …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009629745
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Using Real-Time Data to Test for Political Budget Cycles
Jong-A-Pin, Richard - 2012
data are not affected by elections. However, we do find that governments spend more than reported before an election which … enhance his perceived competence. We also find that governments had higher current receipts than reported before an election …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100272
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Using Real-Time Data to Test for Political Budget Cycles
Jong-A-Pin, Richard - 2012
data are not affected by elections. However, we do find that governments spend more than reported before an election which … enhance his perceived competence. We also find that governments had higher current receipts than reported before an election …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100426