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This paper develops a Monte-Carlo backtesting procedure for risk premia strategies and employs it to study Time … results are robust to using different time-series models, time periods, asset classes, and risk measures. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011990919
autocorrelation in bond risk premia and because unexpected bond return shocks increase the premium. Yield curve momentum is primarily …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012665285
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002372889
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This paper examines the volatility of banks equity weekly returns for six banks (coded B1 to B6) using GARCH models. Results reveal the presence of ARCH effect in B2 and B3 equity returns. In addition, the estimated models could not find evidence of leverage effect. On evaluating the estimated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011843494
correlations with many model-based expected risk premium measures, and imply a larger discount rate channel than CFOs' and … square of the VIX index (VIX^2). Sell-side analysts' expected market risk premia forecasts are also able to predict realised … stock market risk premia. Using sell-side analysts’ excess return forecasts, CAPM and Fama-French multi-factor models fit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013491683
Any time series can be decomposed into cyclical components fluctuating at different frequencies. Accordingly, in this paper we propose a method to forecast the stock market's equity premium which exploits the frequency relationship between the equity premium and several predictor variables. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012208225
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downside liquidity for corporate bonds. While the evidence of illiquidity on risk premium in the cross-section of corporate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835834