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towards infrastructure and industrial development. For Zimbabwe, there is a decline in diaspora remittances over the years … of Zimbabwe should work on policies that would encourage the Zimbabweans in the diaspora to remit more to their country …
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models in the context of Zimbabwe stock market. Two different models were considered in this study. The volatility of the ZSE … a stock market average daily industrial index from Zimbabwe (ZSE index), a country not previously considered in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014034798
Zimbabwe is blessed with tourist attractions that draw visitors from all over the world. However, there are no … this research is to model international tourist arrivals in Zimbabwe and develop a quantitative statistical model that can … be used to forecast future international tourist visitors. The Zimbabwe National Statistics Agency (ZIMSTAT) provided …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014226568
Google Trends have become a popular data source for social science research. We show that for small countries or sub-national regions like U.S. states, underlying sampling noise in Google Trends can be substantial. The data may therefore be unreliable for time series analysis and is furthermore...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012239254
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The paper develops a tail risk forecasting model that incorporates the wealth of economic and financial information available to risk managers. The approach can be viewed as a regularized extension of the two-stage GARCH-EVT model of McNeil and Frey (2000) where we permit a time-varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013214142
We suggest a theoretical basis for the comparative evaluation of forecasts. Instead of the general assumption that the data is generated from a stochastic model, we classify three stages of prediction experiments: pure non-stochastic prediction of given data, stochastic prediction of given data,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009728977
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