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The copper price is a leading indicator of real estate activity. Price increases are statistically related to increasing numbers of applications for residential building permits. However, this reciprocity is not instantaneous as permit numbers lag price rises by 9 to 10 months. This dynamic is...
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In the study we use the right-tail unit root test to analyse the presence of mild explosive dynamics (exuberance) in housing prices of the 17 largest Polish cities in the period 2006-2021 (for quarterly data). In terms of real prices from the secondary market, we were able to demonstrate the...
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We use a time-varying parameter dynamic factor model with stochastic volatility (DFM-TV-SV) estimated using Bayesian methods to disentangle the relative importance of the common component in FHFA house price movements from state-specific shocks, over the quarterly period of 1975Q2 to 2017Q4. We...
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