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This paper proposes a conceptualization of business cycle fluctuations in which the role of financial conditions and nonlinear dynamics are explicitly incorporated. We highlight the role of investment demand in driving economic fluctuations, consider its endogenous dynamic interactions with...
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nondurable consumption growth and inflation. We find that the term premia are negatively related to consumption growth, i.e. the …
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This chapter is dedicated to describe RQA applications in detecting spatio-temporal recurrent patterns of dynamical regimes of economic time series. Here we investigate the nature of economic dynamics and specifically of business cycles Orlando and Zimatore (Chaos, Solitons Fractals 110:82–94,...
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In this work we employ the Recurrence Quantification Analysis (RQA) framework, effective in discovering evidence of non-linear determinism and complex dynamics in short, noisy and irregular signals. We apply RQA to a set of US macroeconomic time series and simulated sequences in order to provide...
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