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financial market volatility after FOMC meetings. Finally, Fed communication may exert an influence on forecast accuracy. …The paper shows that there is a substantial degree of heterogeneity in forecast accuracy among Fed watchers. Based on a … novel database for 268 professional forecasters since 1999, the average forecast error of FOMC decisions varies 5 to 10 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604741
influencing such heterogeneity as Fed communication is found to affect forecast accuracy significantly. …The paper shows that there is a substantial degree of heterogeneity in the ability of Fed watchers to forecast US … FOMC decisions varies 5 to 10 basis points between the best and worstperformers across the sample. This heterogeneity is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299141
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009248386
In this paper, I examine whether communications by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) play a role in determining … intensity with which FOMC statements and meeting minutes discussed labor relative to other topics. I find that these labor topic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011764553
This paper discusses the evolution of central bank communication, focusing on recent efforts by central banks to engage … analyzing Twitter content by and about monetary policy makers can inform about the effectiveness of communication in influencing … communication affects expectations and, subsequently, behavior in financial markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014238784
decision-makers, and that attributed communication can mitigate some of their effects. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014380707
The question how best to communicate monetary policy decisions remains a highly topical issue among central banks. Focusing on the experience of the European Central Bank, this paper studies how explanations of monetary policy decisions at press conferences are perceived by financial markets....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604813
We examine howthe verbal complexity of ECB communications affectsfi-nancial market trading based on high-frequency data fromEuropean stock index futures trading. Studying the 34 events between May 2009 and June 2017, during which the ECB Governing Council press conferences covered unconventional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012039675
central bank communication and the management of expectations referring to a practical institutional example, we also comment …) before the European Parliament (EP), in the context of an evolving monetary policy. Communication is finally described as a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011644116
of monetary policy communication on financial markets. Using natural language processing tools, we construct measures of … linguistic and structural complexity that capture governor-specific trends in communication. We find that while RBI's monetary … policy communication is linguistically complex on average, the length of monetary policy statements has gone down and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012008396