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An important question for central banks is how they should report the uncertainty of their forecasts. This paper … discusses a way in which a central bank could report the uncertainty of its forecasts in a world in which it used a single …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010364738
We discover a novel monetary policy shock that has a widespread impact on aggregate financial conditions. Our shock can be summarized by the response of long-horizon yields to Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announcements; not only is it orthogonal to changes in the near-term path of policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011446542
An important question for central banks is how they should report the uncertainty of their forecasts. This paper … discusses a way in which a central bank could report the uncertainty of its forecasts in a world in which it used a single …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010388883
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when uncertainty is higher and when inflation is more distant from the central bank's inflation aim. These findings suggest … economic developments, but also that uncertainty is associated with a higher perceived risk of under-performance of central …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241292